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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Las Brujas. |
Fecha : |
23/11/2016 |
Actualizado : |
10/02/2020 |
Autor : |
DEL PONTE, E. M.; MAIA, ALINE DE H. N.; DOS SANTOS, T. V.; MARTINS, E. J.; BAETHGEN, W. |
Afiliación : |
EMERSON M. DEL PONTE, Faculdade de Agronomia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil; ALINE DE H. N. MAIA, Embrapa Meio Ambiente, Brazil; THIAGO V. DOS SANTOS, Faculdade de Agronomia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil; EDUARDO J. MARTINS, Faculdade de Agronomia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil; WALTER BAETHGEN, International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), Columbia University, USA. |
Título : |
Early-season warning of soybean rust regional epidemics using El Niño Southern/Oscillation information. |
Fecha de publicación : |
2011 |
Fuente / Imprenta : |
International Journal of Biometeorology, 2011, v. 55, no. 4, p. 575?583. |
DOI : |
10.1007/s00484-010-0365-6 |
Idioma : |
Inglés |
Notas : |
Received: 20 May 2010 // Revised: 2 September 2010 // Accepted: 2 September 2010 // Published online: 21 September 2010 |
Contenido : |
ABSTRACT.
Soybean rust (SBR) is a disease of significant impact to Brazilian soybean production. Twenty-four locations in a major growing region in southern Brazil, where long-term (30 years) weather information was available, were selected to estimate the risk of SBR epidemics and identify potential predictors derived from El Niño 3.4 region. A rainfall-based model was used to predict SBR severity in an ?epidemic development window? (the months of February and March for the studied region) in the time series. Twenty-eight daily simulations for each year-location (n = 720) were performed considering each day after 31 January as a hypothetical detection date (HDD) to estimate a severity index (SBRindex). The mean SBRindex in a single year was defined as the ?growing season severity index? (GSSI) for that year. A probabilistic risk assessment related GSSI and sea surface temperatures (SST) at the El Niño 3.4. region (here categorized as warm, cold or neutral phase) in October?November?December (OND) of the same growing season. Overall, the median GSSI across location-years was 34.5%. The risk of GSSI exceeding 60% was generally low and ranged from 0 to 20 percentage points, with the higher values found in the northern regions of the state when compared to the central-western. During a warm OND-SST phase, the probability of GSSI exceeding its overall mean (locations pooled) increased significantly by around 25 percentage points compared to neutral and cold SST phases, especially over the central western region. This study demonstrates the potential to use El Niño/Southern Oscillation information to anticipate the risk of SBR epidemics up to 1 month in advance at a regional scale.
@ ISB 2010 MenosABSTRACT.
Soybean rust (SBR) is a disease of significant impact to Brazilian soybean production. Twenty-four locations in a major growing region in southern Brazil, where long-term (30 years) weather information was available, were selected to estimate the risk of SBR epidemics and identify potential predictors derived from El Niño 3.4 region. A rainfall-based model was used to predict SBR severity in an ?epidemic development window? (the months of February and March for the studied region) in the time series. Twenty-eight daily simulations for each year-location (n = 720) were performed considering each day after 31 January as a hypothetical detection date (HDD) to estimate a severity index (SBRindex). The mean SBRindex in a single year was defined as the ?growing season severity index? (GSSI) for that year. A probabilistic risk assessment related GSSI and sea surface temperatures (SST) at the El Niño 3.4. region (here categorized as warm, cold or neutral phase) in October?November?December (OND) of the same growing season. Overall, the median GSSI across location-years was 34.5%. The risk of GSSI exceeding 60% was generally low and ranged from 0 to 20 percentage points, with the higher values found in the northern regions of the state when compared to the central-western. During a warm OND-SST phase, the probability of GSSI exceeding its overall mean (locations pooled) increased significantly by around 25 percentage points compared to neutral and cold SST phases, especial... Presentar Todo |
Palabras claves : |
AGRICULTURAL RISK; EL NIÑO; PLANT DISEASE; PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT. |
Asunto categoría : |
-- |
Marc : |
LEADER 02596naa a2200241 a 4500 001 1056122 005 2020-02-10 008 2011 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $a10.1007/s00484-010-0365-6$2DOI 100 1 $aDEL PONTE, E. M. 245 $aEarly-season warning of soybean rust regional epidemics using El Niño Southern/Oscillation information.$h[electronic resource] 260 $c2011 500 $aReceived: 20 May 2010 // Revised: 2 September 2010 // Accepted: 2 September 2010 // Published online: 21 September 2010 520 $aABSTRACT. Soybean rust (SBR) is a disease of significant impact to Brazilian soybean production. Twenty-four locations in a major growing region in southern Brazil, where long-term (30 years) weather information was available, were selected to estimate the risk of SBR epidemics and identify potential predictors derived from El Niño 3.4 region. A rainfall-based model was used to predict SBR severity in an ?epidemic development window? (the months of February and March for the studied region) in the time series. Twenty-eight daily simulations for each year-location (n = 720) were performed considering each day after 31 January as a hypothetical detection date (HDD) to estimate a severity index (SBRindex). The mean SBRindex in a single year was defined as the ?growing season severity index? (GSSI) for that year. A probabilistic risk assessment related GSSI and sea surface temperatures (SST) at the El Niño 3.4. region (here categorized as warm, cold or neutral phase) in October?November?December (OND) of the same growing season. Overall, the median GSSI across location-years was 34.5%. The risk of GSSI exceeding 60% was generally low and ranged from 0 to 20 percentage points, with the higher values found in the northern regions of the state when compared to the central-western. During a warm OND-SST phase, the probability of GSSI exceeding its overall mean (locations pooled) increased significantly by around 25 percentage points compared to neutral and cold SST phases, especially over the central western region. This study demonstrates the potential to use El Niño/Southern Oscillation information to anticipate the risk of SBR epidemics up to 1 month in advance at a regional scale. @ ISB 2010 653 $aAGRICULTURAL RISK 653 $aEL NIÑO 653 $aPLANT DISEASE 653 $aPROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT 700 1 $aMAIA, ALINE DE H. N. 700 1 $aDOS SANTOS, T. V. 700 1 $aMARTINS, E. J. 700 1 $aBAETHGEN, W. 773 $tInternational Journal of Biometeorology, 2011$gv. 55, no. 4, p. 575?583.
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Registro original : |
INIA Las Brujas (LB) |
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Registro completo
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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
Fecha actual : |
23/09/2016 |
Actualizado : |
04/08/2022 |
Tipo de producción científica : |
Libros |
Autor : |
BOGLIACCHINI, A.; CHIARAVALLE, W.; ERNST, O.; FERNÁNDEZ, G.; MARTÍNEZ, I.; PEREYRA, S.; PÉREZ BIDEGAIN, M.; PIPPOLO, D.; SAWCHIK, J.; CANTOU, G. |
Afiliación : |
SILVIA ANTONIA PEREYRA CORREA, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; JORGE SAWCHIK PINTOS, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; MARIA GUILLERMINA CANTOU MAYOL, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay. |
Título : |
Guía de buenas prácticas agrícolas para sistemas con agricultura de secano en Uruguay. |
Fecha de publicación : |
2013 |
Fuente / Imprenta : |
Montevideo (Uruguay): MGAP, MESA NACIONAL DE TRIGO, MESA TECNOLÓGICA DE OLEAGINOSOS, MESA NACIONAL DE ENTIDADES DE CEBADA CERVECERA, 2013. |
Páginas : |
53 p. |
Idioma : |
Español |
Palabras claves : |
AGROQUIMICOS; PROTECCIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SALUD OCUPACIONAL; SEGURIDAD LABORAL. |
Thesagro : |
COSECHA; CULTIVOS DE SECANO; MANEJO; SISTEMAS DE PRODUCCION. |
Asunto categoría : |
F01 Cultivo |
URL : |
http://www.ainfo.inia.uy/digital/bitstream/item/6107/1/Guia-BPA-Secano.pdf
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Marc : |
LEADER 00962nam a2200313 a 4500 001 1055728 005 2022-08-04 008 2013 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 100 1 $aBOGLIACCHINI, A. 245 $aGuía de buenas prácticas agrícolas para sistemas con agricultura de secano en Uruguay. 260 $aMontevideo (Uruguay): MGAP, MESA NACIONAL DE TRIGO, MESA TECNOLÓGICA DE OLEAGINOSOS, MESA NACIONAL DE ENTIDADES DE CEBADA CERVECERA$c2013 300 $a53 p. 650 $aCOSECHA 650 $aCULTIVOS DE SECANO 650 $aMANEJO 650 $aSISTEMAS DE PRODUCCION 653 $aAGROQUIMICOS 653 $aPROTECCIÓN DE CULTIVOS 653 $aSALUD OCUPACIONAL 653 $aSEGURIDAD LABORAL 700 1 $aCHIARAVALLE, W. 700 1 $aERNST, O. 700 1 $aFERNÁNDEZ, G. 700 1 $aMARTÍNEZ, I. 700 1 $aPEREYRA, S. 700 1 $aPÉREZ BIDEGAIN, M. 700 1 $aPIPPOLO, D. 700 1 $aSAWCHIK, J. 700 1 $aCANTOU, G.
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